Weekly Meter

DC / MD / VA / WV

We compare contract activity for the same seven-day period of the previous year in Loudoun County, Prince William County, Northern Virginia, Washington, DC, and Prince George's County. These statistics are updated on a weekly basis. Sign up for our newsletter on the latest market data.

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A Surprising Week – and Not Necessarily in a Good Way

Contract activity for September 7-13, 2025, in the Metro DC area was down 7.9% compared to the same seven-day period in 2024.

 

Key Takeaways

  • None of the six jurisdictions we track had an increase in the number of newly ratified contract. The “best” area was Loudoun County, which was unchanged from last year.
  • We were a bit surprised at these results, because mortgage interest rates fell to their lowest level so far this year.
  • However, there was a total of 1,085 newly ratified contracts last week, and that’s a 22.7% jump from the week prior. Maybe the lower rates made a difference after all.

 

Why It Matters

  • The psychology of the market is . . . interesting.  It almost seems like lots of would-be buyers have hit the “pause” button, waiting to see what the Federal Reserve does later this week.
  • The mortgage market largely expects a 25-basis-point cut, so if that comes to pass, we don’t expect mortgage rates to change significantly.  A larger cut might move the needle a little lower, and that would be welcome news.
  • Last week, homes going under contract took an average of 38 days to sell, while last year the number was 30 days.

Shenandoah, Warren, Clarke, Fauquier, Frederick Counties, Winchester City, and West Virginia.

Not Bad, But Not What We Hoped For

Contract activity for September 7 - 13, 2025, in the Virginia Countryside and West Virginia Panhandle area was down just 0.5% compared to the same seven-day period last year.

 

Key Takeaways

  • The West Virginia Panhandle had a second consecutive weekly increase in contract activity.  While nowhere near as big as the previous week’s 59.2% increase, the 2.9% increase was welcome nonetheless.
  • The Countryside market was down 4.5%.
  • Last week, mortgage interest rates fell to their lowest level of the year, so we thought we might see a bit of a bump in new contracts. That was not to be. The 191 new contracts last week were almost 9% lower than just one week prior, despite lower rates.

Why It Matters

  • The psychology of the market is . . . interesting.  It almost seems like lots of would-be buyers have hit the “pause” button, waiting to see what the Federal Reserve does later this week.
  • The mortgage market largely expects a 25-basis-point cut, so if that comes to pass, we don’t expect mortgage rates to change significantly.  A larger cut might move the needle a little lower, and that would be welcome news.
  • Last week, homes going under contract took an average of 45 days to sell, while last year the number was 41 days.

 

The Real Estate Details

  • Virginia Countryside was down 4.5%, and is up 2.9% year-to-date.
  • West Virginia Panhandle was up 2.9% and is down 3.5% year-to-date.
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